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A Look At BC

February 1, 2012
How State and BC Compare (via StatSheet.com)
  NCSU   BC
RPI #59   #225
Strength of Schedule #32   #70
Overall 15-7   7-14
Conference 4-3   2-5
Home 11-4   6-7
Away 2-2   0-5
Top 25 0-4   0-2
RPI Top 50 0-5   0-5

 

The Four Factors
  NCSU   BC
eFG% 51.6%   48.4%
TO% 19.4%   23.2%
OR% 36.9%   22.8%
FTR% 34.7%   35.4%

 

As you can see from the numbers above, and as you might expect without so much as even a cursory glance at them, State pretty much dominates in every category. 

Boston College is just not a very good basketball team at this point in the Steve Donahue era. As we've so eloquently described them on the podcast, they're basically a collection of goofy white guys that resemble Cornell's roster.

State handled the Eagles in the prior meeting fairly easily, a 76-62 home win. State led by 22 at one point late in the second half, so the game actually was more lopsided than the score indicates.

The big question State needs to answer for itself after two tough losses is can they regain the confidence they showed against BC, Miami and Wake Forest. In particular, Lorenzo Brown seemed lost throughout the entire UNC game, and he was rattled a bit on the final play of the Virginia game. He especially will need to regroup, because as he goes, so does the Pack.

Vegas likes State by 16.5 on the road, but I think the final score will be in State's favor somewhere in the 8-12 point range.

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2 Comments leave one →
  1. Sbas2 permalink
    February 2, 2012 7:43 am

    good to see you analyzing a game again.  always like to read a different point of view.

    • Anonymous permalink*
      February 2, 2012 8:48 pm

      Yeah, I’m trying to get back into the habit. My writing is suffering from not posting any.

      Thanks for the kind words!

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