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A Look At Florida State

January 14, 2011
College Basketball

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Rank and Records NCSU   FSU
RPI #91   #66
Strength of Schedule #158   #88
Overall 11-5   12-5
Conference 1-1   2-1
Home 8-1   7-2
Away 0-3   4-2
Top 25 0-2   1-2
RPI Top 50 0-5   1-3

 

Scouting Report (Courtesy KenPom.com)

Stats include games through Thursday, January 13
against D-I teams only

Category Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 102.0 149 84.6 6 100.8
Adj. Tempo: 70.6 49 67.7
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 48.7 178 40.4 3 48.9
Turnover %: 24.1 310 23.0 65 20.8
Off. Reb. %: 39.1 14 29.9 76 32.6
FTA/FGA: 38.4 158 37.1 159 37.9
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 33.4 196 28.5 14 34.3
2P%: 47.9 167 38.8 2 47.6
FT%: 66.0 248 72.5 312 68.6
Block%: 7.4 63 19.1 1 9.2
Steal%: 11.6 317 12.6 27 9.6
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 35.7 97 39.4 317 33.0
A/FGM: 53.7 177 50.0 74 54.1
Defensive Fingerprint: Mostly Man    
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 29.2 127 31.3 64 27.4
2-Pointers: 50.2 216 43.7 336 51.6
Free Throws: 20.7 197 25.0 40 21.0
Strength of Schedule
Components: 103.3 66 98.5 64 100.8
Overall: .6337 54 .5000
Non-conference: .5077 185 .5000
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 33.7% 135 31.9%
Experience: 1.72 yrs 181 1.72
Effective Height: +2.5 34 0.0
Average Height: 78.5" 3 76.6"

Oy.

Look at that big, fat #1 in KenPom's table under Block%. Among a bevy of impressive defensive statistics, FSU's crown jewel is their nation's-best block rate. When the ball comes into the paint, they are the best at swatting away any attempts.

Good thing NC State doesn't rely on scoring almost exclusively from the post, right?

The Pack will have to play smart basketball on offense (crisp screens and good interior passing) and probably get another mind-blowing performance from Scott Wood from the perimeter to win this one. No doubt FSU's players watched quite a bit of film from Wood's performances against them last year and will try to take him out of the equation.

Recurring theme: This game is a "must-win" for Sidney, as is nearly every game from here on out. Losing against BC really hurt Lowe's chances of finishing above .500 in the conference, and with such a low RPI, the NCAA Selection Committee will probably need to see a conference record of 10-6 to justify considering State for the "real" postseason.

At 1-1, with FSU and Duke directly ahead, State could find itself in a 1-3 hole by this time next week, needing to go 9-3 the rest of the way with three games against Duke and UNC remaining. As ominous as it may look now, losing to FSU would all but certainly sink State's chances of getting into the Big Dance.

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